OSINT Dossier · 13 Years × BAT RomaniaAnti-Illicit Trade · 2026
Contraband · black market

Illicit resale
has a new
frontier: the web.

An automated intelligence system that tracks, qualifies and documents the online sale of illicit cigarettes in Romania, method, channels, tools.

Pilot scope: Rothmans. Adjacent illicit tobacco surfaced along the way is included as additional signal.

↓ ScrollRothmans · menthol · untaxed · bulk
01

The black market has a distribution channel

Illicit tobacco is breaking records in Romania, and a growing share is now sold and promoted online: marketplaces, Facebook groups, messaging apps.

~11%
Black-market share · 2025
×4
Seizures vs 2024
3
Routes: UA · MD · BG
20.8%
Regional peak (West)
02

A wide net, and an intelligence that decides

Two stages. The first casts wide and misses nothing. The second understands context, including the coded language sellers invent to fool moderation.

01 · COLLECT
14 channels
Marketplaces, messaging, social, forums.
02 · NET
RO lexicon
Slang, typos, leetspeak, evasion.
03 · AI
Sonnet judgment
Decodes, rules out false friends. Precision.
04 · SCORING
Risk
Low → Urgent, justified.
What a keyword filter sees

"Vând bomboane, 165 RON, cash on delivery, details in private"

What the AI understands

"candy" = code for cigarettes. A sale, cash on delivery, redirect to private messaging. Case retained.

Real case · Facebook group "tigari ieftine". No keyword script would have linked "candy" to "cigarettes".

Searchable lexicon · 233 terms across 14 families (RO + slang + leet), fuzzy-matched
Rothmans Rothmans țigări Rothmans pachet Rothmans bax Rothmans ieftin Rothmans duty free Rothmans import Rothmans de vânzare țigări Rothmans online Rothmans cartuș contrabandă fără timbru netimbrate mentolate duty-free din Moldova / Ucraina bax · cartuș · angro tutun la galeată · firicel ramburs · plata la primire scrie în privat r0thmans (leet) + variantes, fautes de frappe, leet, argot
03

Where the selling actually happens

Tobacco is banned from official storefronts. Sellers migrate to classifieds, Telegram, and above all local Facebook groups, that's where we look.

OLX
live
Okazii
live
Publi24
live
Lajumate
live
Anunțul
live
Telegram
live
Facebook
groups · live
Instagram
hashtags
WhatsApp
groups
TikTok
search
Reddit · YT
complement
Viber · Forums
complement

All 14 channels are monitored continuously, the red dots mark where offers have already surfaced, not the limit of the search.

04

From listing to intelligence

A flagged post is only the start. Four layers turn it into an admissible, prioritised case.

Seller graph

Clusters listings by phone number, handle, outbound link and image fingerprint, so one seller across five listings (or three platforms) reads as one seller, not five cases.

Pack authentication

Vision check on the photos: missing or foreign tax stamp (banderolă), Cyrillic text, non-compliant health warning, banned menthol, "duty-free" claims.

Chain of evidence

Each case is a timestamped screenshot + SHA-256 hash + custody log, an evidence file that stands up when handed to BAT Legal or the authorities.

Risk scoring

A weighted 0-100 score from the signals above, mapped to four levels, with hard triggers that force the top levels regardless of score.

Low
score < 30

Isolated mention, uncertain availability. Logged; monitoring continues.

Medium
30-59

Clear sale offer of a tobacco product. Into the weekly report; watched for recurrence.

High
60-84 · or repeat seller

Strong illicit signals or a recurring seller. Escalated to BAT AIT & Legal.

Urgent
≥ 85 · or hard trigger

Counterfeit, youth-access or large-scale distribution. < 24h alert with full evidence pack.

Signal weights (illustrative): illicit lexicon +25 · counterfeit +22 · bulk quantity +20 · price gap +20 · brand / provenance / clear-offer / youth-access +15 each. Hard triggers → counterfeit, youth-access, or bulk + foreign origin + delivery force High/Urgent.

05

Compliant by design · deliverables

A defensible watch, and action-ready deliverables.

Passive observation

No interaction, no purchase, no solicitation. Public posts and groups we join as an ordinary member, we read, we never engage sellers.

Monitoring vs. evidence

The continuous crawl honors robots.txt; a confirmed listing is then captured as targeted, permissible evidence for the rights-holder.

Legality & age

Untaxed, smuggled, menthol or counterfeit sale is illegal regardless of buyer age; platform age-gates are logged as a signal, not treated as a barrier.

GDPR / minimization

Sellers pseudonymised in reports; raw identifiers kept only in the secured evidence log, with bounded retention.

Evidentiary value

Screenshot + SHA-256 hash + timestamp + custody log.

Weekly
Monitoring report
.xlsx
Evidence log
<24h
Urgent alert
4×/d
Automated scan

We don't guess
the black market.
We document it.